Saturday, September 29, 2007

Never chase on a paired board

For new players that never heard of this, it's time to hear about.
As this subject is soooo common, I've searched an interesting article on the web, and found this one on the following site: http://www.toppoker.org/free-poker/tips-draws-dm.html


Don't chase draws to straights or flushes when there is a pair on the board. This doesn't seem as bad as it really is; remember that the object of poker is to lose small pots and win big ones. The problem with drawing to a flush or straight with the board paired is two-fold. First of all, the paired board makes it possible for your opponent to have a full house that will beat you even if you do make your hand. The other, less obvious, reason that drawing with a paired board is rarely profitable pertains to implied odds and negative implied odds. Implied odds refer to the amount of money that isn't in the pot yet but that can be won on future bets. Reverse or negative implied odds refer to the amount of money you stand to lose on future betting rounds, usually situations when it is hard for you to see that you don't have the best hand.

Remember, the reason it is sometimes right to draw to flushes and straights is not just the money that is in the pot now; it is also the money that you might be able to win after you make your hand. Now, if there are two tens on the board and your opponent doesn't have one, it will be difficult for him to call a bet once a flush or straight also becomes possible. Even if he has pocket aces, if the board is paired and then three flush cards come out, there will just be too many hands that can beat him for him to pay off a big bet. That's why you don't have good implied odds with a paired board.

Conversely, if your opponent actually has three of a kind, there are two many cards out that would give him a full house; he may already have a full house. If your opponent has a full house or makes a full house and you hit a high flush, it will be very difficult for you to get away from the hand with any chips left. That means that drawing to a flush when your opponent has a boat, or is drawing to a boat, has huge negative implied odds (again, negative implied odds refer to the future bets you will have to pay off when you hit your hand, usually referring to situations where it appears that you have the best hand but do not). So, if your opponent doesn't have a set, you don't have good implied odds, so you can't win a big pot. If he does have a set, then you could end up losing a big pot due to the negative implied odds. To put it simple, drawing to a flush or a straight when there is a pair on the board will win small pots or lose big ones, even when you are "lucky" enough to make your hand. That's just not good poker. Don't draw when the board is paired.


And now, I'll ilustrate this with a hand. In this hand with a full house already made, I got two players drawing, one to a straight and to a flush, and another one to a straight. As I had a very nice full house I made them cheap to draw, but high enough to have them all in at the river. Then, on the river they paired one of their cards and had top pair, but as the pot was already so huge, they couldn't let it go.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: HTML)

Button ($6.50)
SB ($5.25)
BB ($10)
Hero ($9.85)
UTG+1 ($1.50)
MP1 ($5.75)
MP2 ($5.85)
MP3 ($13.85)
CO ($16.15)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Th, Td.
Hero calls $0.10, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.10, MP2 raises to $0.35, 2 folds, Button calls $0.35, 1 fold, BB calls $0.25, Hero calls $0.25, MP1 calls $0.25.

Flop: ($1.80) Js, 3s, Tc (5 players)
BB checks, UTG bets $1.5, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $1.50, Button calls $1.50, BB calls $1.50.

Turn: ($7.80) 3h (4 players)
BB checks, UTG bets $1.9, MP2 folds, Button calls $1.90, BB calls $1.90.

River: ($13.50) Qc (3 players)
BB checks, UTG bets $5, Button calls $2.75 (All-In), BB calls $5.

Final Pot: $26.25

Results:
BB has Qh Kc (two pair, queens and threes).
Hero has Th Td (full house, tens full of threes).
Button has Ks Qs (two pair, queens and threes).
Outcome: Hero wins $26.25.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home